From the monthly archives:

November 2009

Why I Hate Traffic Spikes

by Jorge Escobar on November 30, 2009

spikeThere is a rush when you see a post that gets a lot of attention. I remember Hutch Carpenter experiencing something similar when he had his “Cisco Fatty” post.

But after the moment passes and you look back, there’s a bunch of negative things that slowly emerge from the experience. I will share with you some of the ones I have thought of.

But first, a little backstory. On November 17th I received an invitation to try a Microsoft installer, which I mistakingly thought was related to Azure, Microsoft’s Cloud Computing service to come out next year. I wrote a post about how this could be a great thing for Cloud providers, allowing non-technical users to deploy cloud-aware apps using an iPhone application metaphor. A fellow FriendFeeder posted it on Hacker News, and from there, the post registered an amazing flurry of visits. The post stayed on the home page of Hacker News for most of the day.

So here’s what I gathered as the post’s traffic died down 3 days later.

  • Spikes on Analytics distort your overall view. I am now left with a small horizontal line that doesn’t let me really get a feel of how the blog is doing. I wish there was an option to take that day out of my report, so that I can see the real picture.
  • Most of the traffic doesn’t stick. The before and after subscriber numbers didn’t change at all. These types of traffic are mostly “one visit and forget about your blog” type. The subscriber number did spike as well, but I think this is a false inflation that Feedburner detects, but it’s not real.
  • It gives you a false sense of success. Suddenly you see that day’s traffic and multiply it by 30 and you’re now up there with the big boys. It doesn’t happen like that. You need to keep writing, for years, before that happens my friends. You also don’t feel like blogging for a while, because your monthly metric is now so much higher than your previous month’s — even though the event happened in the middle of the month.
  • You get very tired for days after the event. I stopped thinking about new posts for days because my mind was still reeling from the false success factor.
  • You suddenly are challenged to do an even better follow post, which is unlikely. I guess this is related to the previous one, but you are now defeated in your own turf, pressuring yourself to follow up with an even bigger post.

At the end of the day, there’s little benefits from these spikes, and you shouldn’t put too much energy on them. You might have a nice graph to show yourself on the monthly reports, but the real takeaway is that these are isolated events that should be mostly ignored and forgotten by the next day.

The only positive thing you should learn from a spike is trying to figure out if there’s a formula you can extract from it that you can apply for future posts. In my case, I was extrapolating a “now” event into the future, which might have captivated user’s imagination, which is something I often try on my blog. It would look like this is something I’ve got to keep trying.

Looking forward to your comments.

{ 12 comments }

Chrome OS: Is It Really An Operating System?

November 19, 2009

As I read report after report on Google’s Chrome OS, I have to say I feel a little let down. But most importantly, I’m a little hesitant to call it a real Operating System.

According to the official post:

[Google Chrome OS is] an open source operating system for people who spend most of their time on the web.

Don’t we all spend most of our time nowadays on the web? What is not to love?

The problem is the rest of the time when we are not on the web.

Read the full article →

Microsoft Azure is The New Outlook

November 17, 2009

I just received an email invitation to try out a new application. I get a lot of those these days, but this one was different.

It was from Microsoft.

It picked my interest. A Web Platform Installer? Microsoft doing PHP?

I went to the URL provided and I was blown away with the concept behind this application. Basically Windows has introduced point-and-click cloud computing for the masses and it’s doing it in a way that resembles the iPhone application directory but for web applications.

I hate to say it but it’s brilliant.

Read the full article →

Web Platforms, Not Web Portals

November 17, 2009

In talking to different startups in the past weeks, it’s very clear to me that businesses haven’t grasped yet how the Internet has shifted from the destination paradigm to the platform paradigm.

In a post titled “The Web in Danger”, Anil Dash compiles and adds to the thoughts of Tim O’Reilly, Doc Searls and Chris Messina about how the web is in danger of losing its essence: the destination URL.

So far people have thought of websites by the URLs they enter on their browsers to consume its services. But today, they are thinking of businesses as omnipresent services. They want to be able to do everything they normally do on the URL, using their iPhone or on Facebook or on their Chrome OS powered netbook.

They want to fire up your application using an icon; not enter an address on a URL window.

Read the full article →

AWS Import Tip: Don’t Do It On Windows

November 16, 2009

I just spent the last ten days trying to do an import on Amazon S3 using their Import/Export service. Basically Import/Export allows you to send a drive to Amazon via snail mail and they will hook the drive to their system and import the data locally. It’s much faster than trying to upload the first [...]

Read the full article →

Twitter Retweet: A ‘Like’ Function in Steroids

November 11, 2009
Thumbnail image for Twitter Retweet: A ‘Like’ Function in Steroids

One of the pillars of Social Tools is discovery. You have built a network of like-minded (or influential) people around you, you start striking conversations with them and you start getting the feel of belonging.

But of course, your network is 10 times bigger and more interesting, because of the second and third levels of people’s connections.

“Like” is one of the killer features of FriendFeed. It allowed me to discover new people’s content and I made really close connections to dozens of them. Facebook eventually copied the functionality, even though is not as useful in context as FriendFeed’s.

Since the beginning of Twitter, people found a way to hack the system, by introducing the ‘@’ sign to address users and putting ‘RT’ in front to give attribution of an interesting piece of content.

It took a while, but Twitter has finally given us a way to standardize the process and support it from within its data model. And it’s still called the same: Retweet.

Read the full article →